Recency Effects in Primary-Age Children and College Students
Francesca Chiesi, Caterina Primi
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We investigate the evolution of probabilistic reasoning with age and some related biases, such as the negative/positive recency effects. Primary school children and college students were presented with probability tasks in which they were asked to estimate the likelihood of the next occurring event after a sequence of independent outcomes. Results indicate that older children perform better than younger children and college students. Concerning biases, the positive recency effect decreases with age whereas no age-related differences are found for the negative recency effect. Theoretical and educational implications of results are discussed.


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Article Type: Research Article

INT ELECT J MATH ED, 2009, Volume 4, Issue 3, 259-279

Publication date: 12 Dec 2009

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